Market update & Focuslist - 06/30
Evening Market Update & Strategic Insights
Alex’s PF performance. - June. 2025 📑🛡️
MTD ( +8.56% )
YTD ( +50.94% )
YTD benchmark QQQ (+7.90%)
Hey guys!
June was not an easy month, with more than three weeks of choppy conditions to begin the month, and some strength to close it in the last few days. I am happy with my performance, as I was able to gain traction in a few names that balanced and offset the small cuts I made earlier. PLTR, CRWD, RKLB, and NBIS were some of my big winners that were properly seized to push EC.
PLTR did some damage last Friday, but I was able to re-focus and execute well today to add some good exposure and compensate.
MTD stats:
More trades than usual at 63, but it was the first month that I started to put my adds on a seperate line in my journal, so there is some of that.
Biggest amount of Rs this month at 63 as with the chop I focused to take very tight and low entries in the 21dma-structure...it worked well.
+2.51 RRR due to keeping losses small at -1.8% on average.
Win rate a bit low, indicative of the chop. But I was able to keep my avrg win in the same 8/9% range, showing that I held well to my winners.
Overall pretty solid month for me despite the chop. Let's see what July brings with the current market breakout and proliferation of setups.
Cheers HAGN!
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MARKET ANALYSIS
Market Cycle Statistics (Trend > 21dma-structure):
Cycle Count (days): 46
10Y cycle average (days): 19.33
Z-Score: -+1.16
TLMM DASHBOARD S&P 500 (MODEL: UPTREND)
No need to overthink it at this point. Price follow-through on the base breakout, MCSI continue to rise above the 10dma, breadth continue to expand, and momentum is coming back in the market.
The TLMM Trend Model remains on Uptrend, and even with some stress-test here and there, the trend look to me in place for now.
Be dump, follow price - breadth - momentum
MARKET INTERNALS
Downtrend below declining 21dma-structure.
Downtrend below declining 21dma-structure.
10Y Bond Yields (TNX)
Downtrend below declining 21dma-structure.
/BTC (Bitcoin)
Failed to push out of the recent tight range. But still buillding above the 21dma-structure.
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Sector breakdowns, focus setups with alert levels, fresh scans, my latest portfolio moves, and a look at the week ahead.
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