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Market update & Focuslist - 09/01

Evening Market Update & Strategic Insights

Sep 02, 2025
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Thought of the day

@BalarezoCapital

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MARKET ANALYSIS

The market picture is at risk here, so I prefer to keep it safe and be lighter.

  • QQQE breaks ST UTL and rejects the 21dma-structure once again. We are building lower highs.

  • 10<21<50dma...kma's start to be downtrend aligned.

  • MCO hooked down again after retesting neutral readings (re-acceleration of selling)

  • Breadth extensions made a new lower high and close, making a ST LL.

  • Momentum hook-down as well.

That being said…QQQ/NQ are right in the 10-week moving average (10wma) structure and still holding the 21-day moving average (21dma) structure in what could be a higher low being made on a funky end-of-month Friday. Add that both recent cycle leaders are tight at their 50-day moving averages. We need to keep an open mind and see which side the price will swing to, confirming or not the breadth picture. A weak week open to create a short-term oversold condition will be pretty constructive for the market to setup.

TLMM DASHBOARD NASDAQ

MARKET INTERNALS

Credit Spreads (SHY/HYG)

Downtrend below daily & weekly structures. All good.

VIX (Volatility S&P 500)

Downtrend below daily & weekly structures. Retest of daily structure right here, watching for reclaim or rejection?

10Y Bond Yields (TNX)

Downtrend below daily & weekly structures. All good.

/BTC (Bitcoin)

Been rejected at the daily structure. Patience until we reclaim it. The trend is now confirmed down from daily & weekly.

Hey, tonight's report is packed!

Sector breakdowns, focus setups with alert levels, fresh scans, my latest portfolio moves, and a look at the week ahead.

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