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Market update & Focuslist - 10/02

Evening Market Update & Strategic Insights

Oct 03, 2024
∙ Paid

Good evening, everyone!

Enjoy tonight’s report.

Cheers, Alex! ✌️


Tonight’s report content

  • Market Analysis

  • Sectors & Themes Analysis

  • Focuslist including setups, alert levels & explanation (long & short)

  • Scans (technicals, fundamentals & potential TMLs)

  • My Portfolio Update + bi-weekly full positions update

  • Economic & Earnings Calendar

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MARKET ANALYSIS

Breadth contraction is following through below the 10dma today, and we see an acceleration in the rate of change as well. (MCC osc)

Sure, the market can go higher from here as we’re getting close to an ST oversold reading, but with MT/LT breadth that elevated in OB condition and MCSI accelerating below the 10dma, that's fighting the wrong fight for me on the long side. Flip that breadth extension chart upside down, and that's where I want to look for intermediate long swing.

It's an interesting market, for sure, but I started to consider testing the short side today as I followed my tools/rules.

Market Model #PTMM

S&P500 (RSP)

PTMM Signal: PULLBACK

NASDAQ (QQQE)

PTMM Signal: PULLBACK

RUSSELL 2K (IWM)

PTMM Signal: PULLBACK

Market Internals

VIX (Volatility S&P 500)

Above all kma’s with today’s spike - warning.

10Y Bond Yields

Downtrend - below all declining kma’s.

10/21dma reclaim…but still below 50dma - warning.

US dollar index (DXY)

Downtrend - below all declining kma’s.

Retest of 50dma

Credit Spreads (SHY/HYG)

Downtrend - below all declining kma’s.

Spike into kma’s, to be monitored but nothing too concerning yet.

/BTC (Bitcoin)

Sliced through the 10/21dma, retesting the swing low_AVWAP & 50dma. This support need to hold.

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