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The Prime Report - 09/16

Evening Market Update & Strategic Insights

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Alex
Sep 17, 2025
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Thought of the day

When you trim into strength, you’re not calling a top—you’re buying staying power.

A banked cushion turns the next pullback into routine noise instead of a threat. Locked profits reduce emotion, so you can hold winners and judge price on merit, not fear. The aim is simple: finish the cycle above where you started, with composure.

Cushion + secured profits = Panda Zone.


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MARKET ANALYSIS

Good evening,

Today was flat, but felt like a mini-stress test in some areas of the market.

Price remains above the 21dma-structure with another tight near breakeven day, just as it retested the base top area.

Tomorrow we have FOMC, so get ready for some wild, volatile action, probably on both sides. Buckle up… 14:00 Interest Rate decision, followed by the Q&A at 14:30.

That said, breadth remains poor, and I hope FOMC will provide some kick for the market to move and finally see some broader participation in this market.

As long as the price remains above the 21dma-structure and I have traction and healthy action in my PF, I’m not too worried about the still bad breadth.

TLMM DASHBOARD NASDAQ


MARKET INTERNALS

Credit Spreads (SHY/HYG)

Below daily+weekly structures - good.

VIX (Volatility S&P 500)

21dma-structure reclaim - we need to keep an eye on this tomorrow.

/BTC (Bitcoin)

Daily reversal pivot and 10wma reclaim. It’s looking good for that daily structure reclaim & retest.


SECTORS & THEMES

Top 10 Leading THEMES - Relative Strength RANK sorted (W/ Leading & Setting up Stocks)

Top 10 Leading SECTORS - Relative Strength RANK sorted (W/ Leading & Setting up Stocks)


LEADERS STALKLIST

Liquid Leaders Universe (top RS)

OKLO, IONQ, APP, WDC, CRDO, CLS, STX, NBIS, ALAB, HOOD, MU, WBD, RDDT, LRCX, NET, PLTR, TPR, AVGO, RBLX, U, VST, MDB, SE, GEV, UBER, ANET, NVDA, ORCL, SHOP, AFRM, CEG, SNOW, CVNA, COHR, RCL, TSLA, SPOT, CDNS, ARM, AMD

Liquid Leaders RS Heat Map

A quick visual of daily Relative Strength vs SPY, helping you spot which stocks are leading or lagging on any given day.

That WL is shared as a community WL that you can access in Tlab.

Liquid Leaders DAILY-structure Pullback scan

PLTR, SE, GEV, VRT, CVNA

Liquid Leaders WEEKLY-structure Pullback scan

PLTR, GEV, CVNA, CEG, SPOT, SNOW, CDNS, AMD

Episodic Pivot scan (Potential new Leaders)

None


PORTFOLIO UPDATE

Hey guys!

Stress-test day, and it was great to see most of the PF and leaders holding up quite well. We're going into FOMC with a much better picture now that if we had run into it...without knowing or expecting anything that would/should/will happen, I like that better this way.

I used that stress-test to re-engage a bit of risk into what held best at already top focus daily+weekly setups, but I decided to add to RKLB on this offering news as it's right at the daily+weekly structures+ma confluence. We'll see tomorrow if it's bought up from here or no, but I like the R:R here a lot.

Now... it's FOMC time tomorrow! GL!

NER down at -1.51% with a -11.60% Open Heat.

  • NEW:

  • ADDED: HOOD, IBIT, RKLB

  • TRIMMED:

  • OUT:

POSITIONS/TRADES LIVE EXPLANATIONS REVIEW (Shared live in Discord):


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