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The Prime Report - 09/18

Evening Market Update & Strategic Insights

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Alex
Sep 19, 2025
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Thought of the day - On Patience

Many traders feel pressure always to be active, but most of the time, the best action is restraint. The discipline to wait for conditions that meet your criteria is what separates sustainable success from noise. A small number of quality setups will carry far more weight than constant activity.


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MARKET ANALYSIS

Good evening,

We have some very constructive action right now, with price following through on the range breakout, MCSI FINALLY flipping up for a proper hook-up, and breadth ext. hooking up accross the board.

TLMM model just flipped on Uptrend Attempt due to that picture.

We are seeing the exact picture how a new uptrend starts, and this is exciting. But keep in mind that they often failed, so let’s see if we can build on today’s constructive action and start seeing MCSI trend and cross above the 10dma.

We’ll take it day by day, but so far this is exactly what we wanted to see.

Cheers,

TLMM DASHBOARD NASDAQ


MARKET INTERNALS

Credit Spreads (SHY/HYG)

Below daily+weekly structures. with a nice follow-through today. Good!

VIX (Volatility S&P 500)

Bounced off the support area again. Have to be watched tomorrow.

/BTC (Bitcoin)

New high confirmed. Still inside the weekly structure.


SECTORS & THEMES

Top 10 Leading THEMES - Relative Strength RANK sorted (W/ Leading & Setting up Stocks)

Top 10 Leading SECTORS - Relative Strength RANK sorted (W/ Leading & Setting up Stocks)


LEADERS STALKLIST

Liquid Leaders Universe (top RS)

OKLO, IONQ, APP, WDC, CRDO, NBIS, HOOD, STX, CLS, ALAB, PLTR, MU, LRCX, RDDT, HPE, RBLX, WBD, U, SHOP, SE, DASH, CRWD, AVGO, ANET, VST, CCL, INTC, AFRM, CVNA, MDB, NVDA, CDNS, SPOT, COHR, ORCL, GEV, SNOW, TSLA, UBER, CEG, ZS, DELL, CRWV, RCL, RIVN

Liquid Leaders RS Heat Map

A quick visual of daily Relative Strength vs SPY, helping you spot which stocks are leading or lagging on any given day.

That WL is shared as a community WL that you can access in Tlab.

Liquid Leaders DAILY-structure Pullback scan

RBLX, SE, NVDA

Liquid Leaders WEEKLY-structure Pullback scan

CVNA, GEV, SNOW, UBER, CEG

Episodic Pivot scan (Potential new Leaders)

CRWD, TIC


PORTFOLIO UPDATE

Hey guys!

Excellent follow-through to FOMC reaction with an official Uptrend Attempt signal on TLMM due to MCSI hook-up. That's what we wanted to see for breadth to confirm the price uptrend, and so far we have it. Let's see if it sticks and we can reclaim the 10dma next, and start trending.

I'll take it day by day, but I remain in that process of trimming into strength and reducing my Open Risk and managing my Open Heat. Ideally, we can push further tomorrow so I can get close to off margin into the weekend.

NER down at -1.4% with a -12% Open Heat and +2.7% Secured Profits on this cycle.

  • NEW:

  • ADDED:

  • TRIMMED: PLTR (1/3), MU (1/3)

  • OUT: RKLB (add)

POSITIONS/TRADES LIVE EXPLANATIONS REVIEW (Shared live in Discord):


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