Thought of the day
Keep in mind that trading is about edge, not certainty. It’s always a game of probabilities, the odds of an outcome taking shape, not a guarantee that it will.
That’s why, even when all the right elements line up — structure, momentum, breadth, sentiment — it doesn’t mean a new uptrend is guaranteed. It simply means the conditions that often precede one are in place.
That’s the reason I stepped in and increased exposure on Friday, not because I “know,” but because the probabilities justified it.
And that’s all we ever do as traders: act when the odds tilt in our favor, manage risk when they don’t, and stay patient in between.
All new uptrends start this way, but they still require time, patience, and discipline to confirm.
👉 One day at a time.
PrimeTrading is an equity SWING trading community to learn & trade alongside experienced traders. It's like sneaking into a trader's POD, where you can see us execute & discuss...but in ours, you can also interact and ask questions.
I would have killed for such an opportunity when I started trading! 🔥
Education & mentoring from Alex & experienced traders. (10 Experienced Traders team)
See how I execute intraday while I share all my trades with explanations live.
Alex's daily market commentary, Portfolio updates, trade explanations, and daily FocusList.
Share & Discuss potential trade ideas with an amazing, like-minded community.
Talk Sectors, Macro Economy, Cryptocurrencies & much more!
Talk about mental game & psychology to evolve as a trader!
Live trading and Q&A live sessions 2x week.
Trade & learn with us, from Novice to Expert!
Cheers, Alex 🛡️✌️
Try it 1-month FREE with the code “TRIAL”.
MARKET ANALYSIS
Good evening,
Price pushed out of range. Uptrend above rising 21dma-structure
MCSI uptrend above the 10dma.
Breadth extensions are getting pretty VST overbought, look for potential stress-test.
TLMM Model = Uptrend
With price above a rising daily structure, MCSI in uptrend above the 10dma, I’m back in a mode where I don’t want to over-analyze the market and just manage my exposure on each position’s action.
That section will be quieter again, unless red flags are developing.
TLMM DASHBOARD NASDAQ
MARKET INTERNALS
Close to break to a new low and below the daily-structure…that’s what we want.
Structure breakdown, good!
/BTC (Bitcoin)
Potential U&R (undercut & rally) off Sept. low.
SECTORS & THEMES
Top 10 Leading THEMES - Relative Strength RANK sorted (W/ Leading & Setting up Stocks)
Top 10 Leading SECTORS - Relative Strength RANK sorted (W/ Leading & Setting up Stocks)
LEADERS STALKLIST
Liquid Leaders Universe (top RS)
HOOD, PLTR, RKLB, AMD, OKLO, MU, NBIS, CLS, VRT, NEM, WDC, KLAC, CRDO, AEM, AVAV, RBLX, LRCX, SHOP, MP, ASTS, SNOW, INTC, AMAT, TSM, AVGO, B, ARM, NVDA, CRWD, SMCI, TEM, JOBY, ANET, TER, DDOG, WBD, TSLA, EBAY, CEG, DELL, SMR, MDB, STX, DASH, IONQ, APP, NU, GEV, VST, CRWV
Liquid Leaders RS Heat Map
A quick visual of daily Relative Strength vs SPY, helping you spot which stocks are leading or lagging on any given day.
That WL is shared as a community WL that you can access in Tlab.
Liquid Leaders DAILY-structure Pullback scan
HOOD, MP, SNOW, NVDA, CRWD, SMCI, JOBY, DDOG, SMR, MDB, DASH, APP, NU, HUM, UAL
Episodic Pivot scan (Potential new Leaders)
None
PORTFOLIO UPDATE
Hey guys!
As explained in length last night, the market setup was there, and we needed confirmation...that’s what we had today with a follow-through on price & breadth. QQQE pushed out of range, and MCSI pushed higher above the 10dma. If you know me well by now, you know that when I get that market picture, it’s time to trust the new trend taking shape and make my decision on my positions and portfolio first. Not going to overthink the market unless that price & breadth uptrend is broken.
I followed my game plan and pushed my exposure slightly on margin today, with 3 new positions. Now it’s time to be patient and let this new exposure work and eventually hit my 2 & 7R targets if the market continues from here.
Panda mode engaged.
NER is at -2.20%, with a -7.80% Open Heat and +8.91% Secured Profits on this cycle.
Cheers, HAGN!
NEW: DELL, CRWD, PLTR
ADDED:
TRIMMED: SMCI (1/3)
INTRADAY ATTEMPTS:
OUT:
POSITIONS/TRADES LIVE EXPLANATIONS REVIEW (Shared live in Discord):
Try TradersLab.io — your faster research workflow.
Build your plan in minutes with top-down market dashboards, sector/money-flow views, and screeners that drill down to leading stocks—all in one platform.
It’s the same set of TradersLab scans I use to build my Focuslist, now in an app built for every swing or position trader’s daily routine.
Open the app → TradersLab.io
Try it 1-month FREE with the code “TRIAL”.
Want to keep reading The Prime Report? Subscribe below to see my game plan and top ideas for tomorrow.
See you there!
FOCUSLIST 10/20
Keep reading with a 7-day free trial
Subscribe to PrimeTrading to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.