Ride the Trend — Don’t Guess the End
One of the biggest opportunity killers I see — and honestly one of the fastest ways traders destroy wealth — is trying to guess the end of a trend.
Whether it’s short-term or long-term, that urge to call the top or bottom way too early comes from a place of wanting to be right instead of staying aligned with strength. And more often than not, it leads to cutting winners short, stepping in front of momentum, or forcing trades that aren’t there.
The truth is, strong trends usually run longer and further than most expect. Your job isn’t to outsmart the market — it’s to ride the wave while it’s moving in your favor, and manage risk when the structure starts to break down.
Stick with what’s working. Let price tell the story — not your opinion.
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MARKET ANALYSIS
Good evening,
Price uptrend above rising 21dma-structure. (extended… 2.19xATR-21dma & 3.85xATR-10wma)
MCSI uptrend above the 10dma. (Far from overbought - lot of room)
MCO pushing above +1σ
TLMM Model = Uptrend
With the price above a rising daily structure and MCSI in an uptrend above the 10-day moving average, I’m back in a mode where I don’t want to overanalyze the market and manage my exposure based on each position’s action.
That section will be quieter again, unless red flags start to develop.
TLMM DASHBOARD NASDAQ
MARKET INTERNALS
Downtrend below declining 21dma-structure.
Downtrend below declining 21dma-structure.
/BTC (Bitcoin)
21dma-structure: reclaim, rejection at recent swing high pivot… now let’s see if it can backtest the 21dma-structure and find support.
SECTORS & THEMES
Top 10 Leading THEMES - Relative Strength RANK sorted (W/ Leading & Setting up Stocks)
Top 10 Leading SECTORS - Relative Strength RANK sorted (W/ Leading & Setting up Stocks)
LEADERS STALKLIST
Liquid Leaders Universe (top RS)
HOOD, PLTR, CLS, AMD, NBIS, RKLB, MU, VRT, LRCX, SNOW, SHOP, AVGO, WDC, WBD, KLAC, NET, OKLO, CRDO, DELL, FSLR, ANET, TER, ARM, TSM, ASTS, CEG, AMAT, IBM, APP, INTC, STX, MDB, TEM, NU, DDOG, RBLX, IONQ, F, TSLA, VST, CRWV, HPE, JOBY, QCOM, HUM, SMCI, CCL, CVNA, DASH, MP
Liquid Leaders RS Heat Map
A quick visual of daily Relative Strength vs SPY, helping you spot which stocks are leading or lagging on any given day.
That WL is shared as a community WL that you can access in Tlab.
Liquid Leaders DAILY-structure Pullback scan
OKLO, TSM, TSLA, CRWV, HPE, ORCL
Episodic Pivot scan (Potential new Leaders)
QCOM
PORTFOLIO UPDATE
Hey guys!
Very boring day today, as I didn’t plan, nor did any new trades, trims, or exits. I continue to be patient with the exposure I took last week and let that exposure work for me until we continue to hit those trim targets or get red flags... which we don’t have right now. That market remains strong, and has moved in gaps over the last few days, so there are more reasons to be patient and not overtrade, which could lead to being chopped up in an extended, slightly overbought market.
Let’s see if we can hit TSLA, RKLB, or DDOG 2R targets tomorrow, which would be ideal for starting to get off margin with the market getting a bit stretched. 7R targets are higher, so we’ll probably need more days or weeks to get there with natural reactions and stress tests in between.
QQQE > rising 21dma-structure (price extended)
MCSI > rising 10dma
Breadth not overbought yet
All good...
NER is at -1.57%, with an Open Heat of -12.3%.
Cheers, HAGN.
NEW:
ADDED:
TRIMMED:
INTRADAY ATTEMPTS:
OUT:
POSITIONS/TRADES LIVE EXPLANATIONS REVIEW (Shared live in Discord):
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FOCUSLIST 10/27
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